Polymarket Trader

irio27

0xad7ecdfb1426ce0cd29763a3972d4c53726af9eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.93
Realized PnL: $6.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Trump's new travel ban on Palestinians removed by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.33
Potential profit: $197.33
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20.71

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $28.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $71.05
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $12.65

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.65
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$35.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $12.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.9
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Israel strike on Gulf State by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.97
Potential profit: $65.97
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17.47

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Peace plan" or "Peace agreement" during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Maricarmen Alva be the next President of Peru?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$26.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.33
Potential profit: $46.33
User PnL: -$11.58

Yes position

Will valid votes be between 5.8-6 million in Bolivia election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.46
Potential profit: $44.46
User PnL: -$8.89

Yes position

Will Karoline Leavitt be between 15 and 20 minutes late to the next press briefing?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.69
Potential profit: $37.69
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by October 15?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.74
Potential profit: $33.74
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will anyone say "Tariff" 5+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.71
Potential profit: $15.71
User PnL: -$2.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.97

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.74

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.67

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $404.34

Yes position

Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.95

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.78

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $309.93

No position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $228.35

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.71

Yes position

Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.36

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $176.55

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $162.79

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.63

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.68

Yes position

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.07

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.89

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.25

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.21

No position

Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.68

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.72

Yes position

Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 100 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Yes 59% 43.17 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 64% 15 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Yes 57% 41.2 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Yes 52% 50 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

No 45% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 44.05 shares
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 98% 63.96 shares
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 29% 100 shares
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 79.2% 49.98 shares