Polymarket Trader

butler395062

0xad8093ea52473a689dd9542168d15770c7abeca5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.79
Realized PnL: -$11.21
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.85
Potential profit: $252.85
User PnL: -$77.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.09
Potential profit: $144.09
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.03
Potential profit: $129.03
User PnL: -$80

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.63
Potential profit: $123.63
User PnL: -$90

Maryland Whipsnakes position

Maryland Whipsnakes vs. New York Atlas

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $96.41
Potential profit: $89.62
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$25.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.68
Potential profit: $53.68
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.85
Potential profit: $17.85
User PnL: -$10.71

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.95
Potential profit: $4.95
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.62

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: -$10.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 33% 96.41 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

No 39.8% 20 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

No 40.7% 125 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

No 40.8% 9.9 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

No 42.3% 487.57 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Down 43% 11.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Up 21% 23.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 14.5% 34.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 61% 18.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 54% 18.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Down 86% 15.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Down 90% 5.56 shares