No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $88.12
- Potential payout
- $89.87
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Polymarket Trader
14ls
0xad86280dd9feca9a454d1ff09e9fa6ee5277b77b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $173.49
- Realized PnL
- $571.16
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $45.06
- Potential payout
- $48.19
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $40.31
- Potential payout
- $41.07
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.13
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.47
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.17
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125.59
No position
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.63
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.66
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.64
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$202.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$227.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$399
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$513.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 83% 48.19 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 97.1% 89.87 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 97.9% 17.36 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.4% 41.07 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 44% 113.64 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 27?Yes 51% 1,286.54 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 27?Yes 52% 953.84 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes 7.6% 24.93 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes 2% 14.93 shares
- Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes 7% 39.81 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes 0.1% 256.84 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 12?No 33% 494 shares