No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $83K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $117K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$17K
Polymarket Trader
VivaMoldova
0xad89f899f1524533adfd1e6a07da692fcd92f6e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $230.51K
- Realized PnL
- $190.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $117K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $83K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $17K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $18.5K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $100.02
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $962
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $22.43
No position
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.16K
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $86.97
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $465.49
N
No position
Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $120.69
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $140.27
N
No position
Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $797.15
- Potential payout
- $832.97
- Potential profit
- $35.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $47.48
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $217.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $282.5
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $27.5
N
No position
Will Norway be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $381.47
- Potential payout
- $394.9
- Potential profit
- $13.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $345.79
- Potential payout
- $349.46
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $31.28
Yes position
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $235.92
- Potential payout
- $312.48
- Potential profit
- $76.56
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$28.93
No position
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $109.54
- Potential payout
- $115.92
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.22
No position
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $82.65
- Potential payout
- $84.34
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $27.94
- Potential payout
- $48.59
- Potential profit
- $20.65
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.73
N
No position
Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $46.82
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $38.22
- Potential payout
- $40.33
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $8.17
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Sincere Rhea win Love Island USA Season 8?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $6.44
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will KC Chandler win Love Island USA Season 8?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Valentova position
Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $54.01K
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $49.32K
No position
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1K
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39K
Kartal position
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Belinda Bencic vs Sonay Kartal
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $6.39K
No position
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3K
Yes position
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Djokovic position
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Musetti (+2.5)
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $4.99K
No position
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17K
Baptiste position
Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Kostovic
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $4.09K
No position
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
No position
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Under position
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32K
Patrick Kypson position
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
Will Angelina Keeley be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Heat position
Heat vs. Bulls
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Krejcikova position
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Barbora Krejcikova vs Amanda Anisimova
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Over position
Baptiste vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Hassan position
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Benjamin Hassan
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
Will Chrissy Hofbeck be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
Will Christian Hubicki be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 63% 13.51 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12% 40.75 shares
- Will Norway be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 97% 394.9 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14% 29.74 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 26% 151.36 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 28.8% 1,284.41 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes 78% 3,197.53 shares
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over 64.5% 5,761.09 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 50.6% 5,262.98 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 62% 4,403.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 34% 2,311.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 33% 499.99 shares