No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $94.49
- Potential payout
- $179.98
- Potential profit
- $85.49
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Polymarket Trader
0xad8a...05df
0xad8a8a2f15f4b91bfc81b2afe8411a39754b05df
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $216.1
- Realized PnL
- -$129.75
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $18.66
- Potential payout
- $177.68
- Potential profit
- $159.02
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$31.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $175.44
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $52.19
- Potential payout
- $97.56
- Potential profit
- $45.37
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $50.76
- Potential payout
- $78.1
- Potential profit
- $27.33
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $26.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.19
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.82
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.42
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.29
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.04
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.88
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$26.3
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.5
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$124.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 50% 97.56 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31% 78.1 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 28% 177.68 shares
- Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No 96.1% 77.45 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 1.5% 54.89 shares
- Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 1.2% 42.29 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 72% 34.72 shares
- Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No 71% 77.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 57% 175.44 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 43.5% 54.9 shares
- Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 57% 42.3 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 68.1% 51.17 shares