Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$167.25
Polymarket Trader
0xad99BFFCe03Cc56AC1b697aC15a173700E54dBaB-1770744877347
0xad99bffce03cc56ac1b697ac15a173700e54dbab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.81K
- Realized PnL
- $8.5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $385.6
- Potential payout
- $795.06
- Potential profit
- $409.46
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $91.6
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.9%
- Current value
- $117.95
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $582.05
- Multiplier
- 5.93x
- User PnL
- -$47.95
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $411.8
- Potential payout
- $568
- Potential profit
- $156.2
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $61.89
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $417.11
- Potential payout
- $527.98
- Potential profit
- $110.88
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $147.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $358
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$14
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $42.22
- Potential payout
- $367.1
- Potential profit
- $324.88
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$34.87
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $314.84
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $81.74
No position
Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $34.19
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $8.81
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 74% 315 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 48% 100 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 23.7% 184 shares
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?Yes 14.6% 118 shares
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?Yes 14.5% 90 shares
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?Yes 12.6% 165.19 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 85% 250 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 78% 43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 795.06 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 61.6% 568 shares
- Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?No 83% 50 shares
- Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?No 15% 100 shares