Polymarket Trader

DirtyBit44

0xada0692e26c625777a02b707a1dcc581fc8f44a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.7
Realized PnL: $511.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.35
Potential profit: $95.35
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.99
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $14.76
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $47.24
Multiplier: 4.20x
User PnL: $12.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $29.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $20.9
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $26.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $49.98
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.99
Potential profit: $43.99
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.46
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.99
Potential profit: $26.99
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.95
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.28
Potential profit: $11.28
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.68

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.4

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 6% 12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 6% 1.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 31% 6.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 18% 10.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 18% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 27% 10.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 34% 9.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 15% 15.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 8% 50.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 6% 12 shares