Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.46
- Potential profit
- $138.46
- User PnL
- -$18
Polymarket Trader
Valenine
@GhostRoaming
0xada5f0892ef1ddb2b613a6b062318816795636d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.3
- Realized PnL
- $51.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $53.6
- Potential payout
- $64.2
- Potential profit
- $10.59
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $51.69
- Potential payout
- $61.18
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 61.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 88% 17.05 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 64.2 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No 98.4% 21.34 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 78% 21.83 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 57% 36.98 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 96% 14.58 shares
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 80% 14.11 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 13% 138.46 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No 98.3% 16.73 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 31% 40.54 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 0.9% 32.12 shares