Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $781.25
- Potential profit
- $781.25
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
jagernout9555
0xadae9094be7bd5e19c58068d4d48b9dabd1b74d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $235.75
- Realized PnL
- $43.09
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Current value
- $58.32
- Potential payout
- $148.77
- Potential profit
- $90.45
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $101.39
- Potential payout
- $137.02
- Potential profit
- $35.62
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $46.08
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $51.96
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Yes position
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $88.08
- Potential profit
- $80.72
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $7.31
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $69.62
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $5.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $19.24
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No 73% 137.02 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 51% 98.04 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 49.4% 140.27 shares
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No 48% 100 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No 46.3% 102.65 shares
- Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?Yes 11.4% 88.08 shares
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No 50% 100 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No 48.7% 102.65 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 35.6% 140.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 64.4% 127.89 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 78.2% 127.9 shares