Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $259.87
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Polymarket Trader
NoSoyKeneth
0xadaec9b3fce751ea1ef19c69c0f3ab3474b55ef5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.77
- Realized PnL
- $137.25
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.38
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $125.19
- Potential profit
- $125.13
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $117.85
- Potential profit
- $117.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $98.17
- Potential profit
- $97.34
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.1
- Potential profit
- $94.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
DR Congo position
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Australia position
Spread: Australia (-2.5)
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.76
- Potential profit
- $81.76
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.64
- Potential profit
- $63.64
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.52
- Potential profit
- $56.52
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.96
- Potential profit
- $54.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.75
- Potential profit
- $54.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Australia position
Spread: Australia (-1.5)
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.22
- Potential profit
- $53.22
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $46.93
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.29
- Potential profit
- $39.29
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $28.43
- Potential payout
- $30.57
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $23.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.72
- Potential profit
- $29.72
- User PnL
- -$1
Alan Magadan position
Quito: Alan Magadan vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.1
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- User PnL
- -$6.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $27.92
- Potential profit
- $24.02
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Mexico position
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.95
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 4?Yes 14.8% 30.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 4?Yes 3.9% 25.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 4?Yes 0.8% 117.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 4?Yes 10.7% 27.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 4?Yes 1% 98.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?Yes 0.1% 240 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 4.2% 47.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?Yes 12% 16.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 4?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?Yes 2.4% 125.19 shares