Polymarket Trader

gesst

0xadaf1c42e0a88e2942e7adfe559e30c1796bf9f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.27K
Realized PnL: $29.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$136.91

No position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $98.68
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $80.56

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$85.5

Yes position

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $7.26
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$35.95

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Trump Leave China on May 16?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $613.58
Potential profit: $613.58
User PnL: -$7.36

No position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $396.76
Potential payout: $570.96
Potential profit: $174.2
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $84.22

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $238
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $162
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$98

Yes position

Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $322.23
Potential profit: $319.17
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $94.44
Potential payout: $239.39
Potential profit: $144.95
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $14.85

No position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $182.87
Potential payout: $191.39
Potential profit: $8.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.52

No position

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $101.05
Potential payout: $104.5
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $12.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.52K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48K

No position

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.88K

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $876.36

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $852.12

No position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $807.52

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.9%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $776.79

Yes position

Will another candidate win?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $673.75

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $650.63

No position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $527.38

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499

No position

Will another candidate win?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.3

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $436.4

Yes position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $434.16

No position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $432.88

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $416.38

No position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.15

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $407.25

Yes position

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $398.22

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 75.5% 33.9 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 36.1% 88 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 35.2% 90 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 26.6% 48.05 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 37% 37.52 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 31.5% 37.52 shares
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 1.3% 318.28 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?

Yes 41% 0.99 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 62% 150 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 51% 26 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 15.5% 42.22 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 15.5% 85.66 shares