Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $31.22
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$28.74
Polymarket Trader
ClayWise
0xadaf57e52c32ec974bf0467de76116547b851dde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.08K
- Realized PnL
- $3.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $848.48
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $708.36
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$164.19
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $733.58
- Potential profit
- $733.58
- User PnL
- -$127.27
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $255.19
- Potential payout
- $630.09
- Potential profit
- $374.91
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$78.81
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $521.88
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $103.13
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $21.88
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $17.16
- Potential payout
- $418.45
- Potential profit
- $401.3
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$7.84
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $259.61
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.63
- Potential profit
- $236.63
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Walmart buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $28.07
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $199.2
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.3%
- Current value
- $159.85
- Potential payout
- $215.14
- Potential profit
- $55.29
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Yes position
Will the fight go the distance?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.57
- Potential profit
- $208.57
- User PnL
- -$39.54
Yes position
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.89
- Potential profit
- $204.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $10.67
- Potential payout
- $203.33
- Potential profit
- $192.65
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Amazon buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.4
- Potential profit
- $166.4
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the fight end in Round 4?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.1
- Potential profit
- $123.1
- User PnL
- -$12.68
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.6
- Potential profit
- $121.6
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the fight end in Round 7?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.28
- Potential profit
- $102.28
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the fight end in Round 3?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.76
- Potential profit
- $86.76
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $66.75
- Potential payout
- $83.38
- Potential profit
- $16.64
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $12.55
No position
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $70.03
- Potential payout
- $77.38
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks position
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $44.39
- Potential payout
- $44.39
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $29.45
No position
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $20.33
- Potential payout
- $22.36
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.52
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.14
No position
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.71
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Ben Carson for HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $250.38
No position
Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.3
No position
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.82
Yes position
Will the fight end in Round 6?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.8
Yes position
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.88
No position
Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.44
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.52
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.26
No position
Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.34
No position
Will Trump say "fake news" during RNC speech?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.59
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.86
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.24
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.36
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.15
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.63
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.25
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.98
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.27
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.02
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?Yes 27.9% 17.92 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?Yes 35% 14.29 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 73.7% 92.27 shares
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan BroncosMiami (OH) RedHawks 33% 15.03 shares
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan BroncosMiami (OH) RedHawks 34% 29.18 shares
- Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?Yes 85% 11.76 shares
- Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?Yes 80% 18.75 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 72.4% 20.73 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 60% 50 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.9% 263.16 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.7% 588.24 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 48% 104.17 shares