robertoo

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$81.43

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $58.09
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $8.09

Guatemala position

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $56.25
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $905.29
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $6.25

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $830.93
Potential profit: $830.93
User PnL: -$390.54

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $667.27
Potential payout: $684.38
Potential profit: $17.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $35.19

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $49.66
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $626.01
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $24.02
Potential payout: $522.22
Potential profit: $498.2
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Craig Federighi say "Fluid" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $487.75
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $39.01
Potential payout: $369.76
Potential profit: $330.75
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.45
Potential profit: $275.45
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $188.31
Potential payout: $259.74
Potential profit: $71.43
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$11.69

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $49.2
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $190.8
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $203.35
Potential payout: $204.17
Potential profit: $0.82
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Spain leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201
Potential profit: $201
User PnL: -$146.73

Yes position

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $26.59
Potential payout: $194.81
Potential profit: $168.21
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.41

No position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $159.65
Potential payout: $161.1
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: $15.16

Yes position

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $53.42
Potential payout: $150.49
Potential profit: $97.07
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$6.58

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $117.42
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $17.82

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $20.73
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $91.63
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.8

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.95

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.92

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $37.5

Under position

Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.11

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.84

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

Yes position

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?