Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
mangorlica
0xadb60a1a1ad865befc9de93643eed3be61705875
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.84
- Realized PnL
- $509.08
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.16
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $990.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $19.58
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $813.75
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $9.58
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $24.64
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $689.64
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $14.64
Yes position
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $6.11
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $549.44
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $528.57
- Potential profit
- $528.57
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $467.65
- Potential profit
- $467.65
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $10.58
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $406.08
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $393.4
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $297.34
- Potential profit
- $297.34
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $116 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $13.38
- Potential payout
- $250.13
- Potential profit
- $236.74
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.18
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.31
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.73
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.58
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.99
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.21
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.67
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- $16.15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.66
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Morocco position
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Canada position
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Under position
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Cabo Verde position
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under 64% 15.38 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 69% 29.41 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco 87% 16.94 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco 59% 16.95 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 34% 29.41 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes 23% 43.47 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceCanada 41% 26.31 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceCanada 38% 26.32 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under 65% 15.38 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 6.9% 144.93 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 16.9% 59.08 shares