No position
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Ends Sep 23, 2028- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $34.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Polymarket Trader
TinnedFish
0xadd393bb17ee816358b1c879da414660e16a263f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.15
- Realized PnL
- $285.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2.16
No position
Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Ends Sep 23, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will Trump resign in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.93
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.13
Yes position
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.74
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.24
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.67
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will the Red Bloc win by 4–7 seats?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.34
Yes position
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.29
Yes position
Will Patriotic Union win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next French Prime Minister?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?No 83% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 77% 20 shares
- Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?No 70% 50 shares
- Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?No 86% 20 shares
- Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?No 74% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No 28% 20 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No 95.2% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No 62% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No 24% 20 shares
- Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes 5.4% 40 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No 77% 6 shares