Polymarket Trader

aoligei

0xadd4b9094c6c033076304acf837f162582c6e54a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.64
Realized PnL: $29.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $527.4
Potential profit: $527.4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $11.51
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spain position

Spain vs. France - Who will advance?

Ends Jul 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

No position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,500 on August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,400 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Astaria airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 527.4 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 86% 6.98 shares
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 92% 5.54 shares
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 97.5% 6.15 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?

No 97.9% 10.22 shares
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?

No 83% 4.22 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?

Yes 85.8% 11.66 shares
WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch?

No 97.5% 10.26 shares
Will Ethereum hit $4,400 by December 31?

Yes 95% 24.21 shares