No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $4.35K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $265.68
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $454.84
Polymarket Trader
RealKeyserSoze
0xaddbe6eef8e9f57ea30b77817739f12d33514f44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.41K
- Realized PnL
- $6.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $143.36
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $860.58
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $211.79
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$16.89
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.51
- Potential profit
- $196.51
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $80.79
- Potential payout
- $190.1
- Potential profit
- $109.31
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$69.8
Yes position
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $7.12
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $31.35
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $2.12
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.31
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.57
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.89
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.84
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.35
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.09
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.36
No position
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.06
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.03
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.81
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.4
No position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.12
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.02
Yes position
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.79
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.55
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.85
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.42
No position
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.64
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 84% 60.23 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 77% 129.87 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 80.2% 19.95 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 80.1% 39.93 shares
- X banned in U.K. by March 31?No 99.3% 199.99 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 81.9% 770.79 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 97.7% 500.84 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 86% 165.29 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 94.3% 173.87 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 92.1% 217.08 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 72% 13.89 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 91% 109.89 shares