Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Polymarket Trader
marlee157leonardo
0xade414807a1ee3669e8c8fae1ff3990bef91c907
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $13.13
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
"Happy Gilmore 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 51% 105 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 105 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 65.7% 86 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95.8% 38 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 95.8% 64 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 96.4% 64 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 96.6% 63 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 96.3% 63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 34% 62 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 69% 31.31 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 68% 19 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 67% 15.2 shares