Polymarket Trader

kihihi

0xade74a23c444d0eebee00034459fbc269fab58af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $88.56
Realized PnL: $115.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $29.76
Potential payout: $30.79
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.41
Potential payout: $25.42
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $10.41

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $16.79
Potential payout: $16.84
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $15.57
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.36

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $2.88
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.23

Senators position

Sharks vs. Senators

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.21

Yes position

Morocco leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Antonia Ruzic position

Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Over position

SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

No position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

No position

Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Sinja Kraus position

Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Kraus

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Ursa position

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

No 99.6% 15.06 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu

Antonia Ruzic 39% 38.46 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 83% 13.35 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 86% 17.44 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu

Antonia Ruzic 30% 50 shares
Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)

Sonmez 50% 19.2 shares
Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)

Sonmez 50% 5.76 shares
Zeynep Sonmez vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 50% 30 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 18% 22.17 shares
Set 1 Winner: Badosa vs Kraus

Kraus 50% 4.14 shares
Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Kraus (+1.5)

Kraus 51% 29.41 shares
Morocco leading at halftime?

Yes 95% 14.26 shares