Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $32.83
- Potential payout
- $505.05
- Potential profit
- $472.22
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$67.17
Polymarket Trader
0xAdeD996B340eCb6c9DFd5c27a012Fb0eb8176Fa0-1723503506463
0xaded996b340ecb6c9dfd5c27a012fb0eb8176fa0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.83
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Under position
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.79
- Potential profit
- $35.79
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.43
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Kings
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.69
Celtics position
Heat vs. Celtics
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.52
Bautista position
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.27
Over position
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.86
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.82
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Under position
O/U 3.5 Rounds
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.99
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel position
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Over position
Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.65
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Over position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Jirí Procházka 51% 653.86 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 277.78 shares
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver 91.8% 108.97 shares
- UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 61% 81.97 shares
- Fight to Go the Distance?No 67.9% 73.63 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 77% 32.47 shares
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder 69.8% 35.79 shares
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver 95.3% 104.94 shares
- UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)Zellhuber 77% 129.87 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes 33% 151.52 shares
- Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No 17.3% 86.8 shares
- Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No 66.2% 60.41 shares