Polymarket Trader

0xAdF08CfD5Faa790E17193b3d2109D14716Bf5DBF-1764335075834

0xadf08cfd5faa790e17193b3d2109d14716bf5dbf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.11
Realized PnL: $402.4
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$30

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.29K
Potential profit: $8.29K
User PnL: -$21.99

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $841.86
Potential profit: $841.86
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $28.3
Potential payout: $622
Potential profit: $593.7
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$5.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.43
Potential profit: $191.43
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.78
Potential profit: $187.78
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.6
Potential profit: $165.6
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.88
Potential profit: $116.88
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.75
Potential profit: $112.75
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $47.81
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $14.69
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $32.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.35
Potential profit: $39.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.81
Potential profit: $35.81
User PnL: -$10.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $20.25
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.27

No position

Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.55

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.95

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.97

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

No position

Will Trump say "Bottom of the Sea" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 622 shares
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26.6% 187.78 shares
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3% 841.86 shares
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 15% 166.67 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 0.1% 15,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 20% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 56% 8.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 30% 12.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 34% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 65% 47.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 27% 18.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 32% 15.63 shares