No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $61.36
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $28.39
Polymarket Trader
tomwong
@TomWongFuture
0xadfc82a21dbea21751a0ac6ce0693401e6fbbb84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.77K
- Realized PnL
- $153.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.75
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.53
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.58
No position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 95.1% 1,831.76 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 1,742.1 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 96.7% 82.73 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 96.7% 1,157.49 shares
- Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?No 97% 100 shares
- Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?No 97% 100 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No 98.1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp 43% 10 shares
- Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?Yes 48% 10 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?No 95% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 96.9% 1,040 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 94% 15.96 shares