Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $361.52
- Potential payout
- $371.36
- Potential profit
- $9.84
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $361.52
Polymarket Trader
0xadfd...7b25
0xadfd69fcb4e677600a258f8cdd3f680a70697b25
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $497.55
- Realized PnL
- $346.93
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $105.59
- Potential payout
- $106.39
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- User PnL
- $105.59
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $30.44
- Potential payout
- $30.79
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $30.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.46
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.95
No position
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.18
Yes position
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
Yes position
Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 96.8% 371.36 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 51.4% 132.88 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 92.6% 37.13 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 82% 106.39 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 18.5% 496.06 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 82.6% 27.29 shares
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?No 78% 30.79 shares
- Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?Yes 70% 68.64 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 92% 34.82 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 83.2% 128.14 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes 91.5% 361.29 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 27.8% 533.59 shares