Polymarket Trader

LordFinesse

0xae094828b555342ad8cffcd24715c07d73b56a64

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.71
Realized PnL: $3.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$43.34

Yes position

Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.74
Potential profit: $999.74
User PnL: -$26.86

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.15
Potential profit: $434.15
User PnL: -$78.07

Yes position

Will Iowa State advance to the Final Four?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.43
Potential profit: $401.43
User PnL: -$98.8

Yes position

Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.79
Potential profit: $375.79
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.85
Potential profit: $349.85
User PnL: -$45.37

No position

Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.73
Potential profit: $204.73
User PnL: -$11.21

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $14.71
Potential payout: $200.16
Potential profit: $185.45
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$19.63

Yes position

Will Michigan State advance to the Final Four?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.71
Potential profit: $167.71
User PnL: -$36.28

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.56
Potential profit: $114.56
User PnL: -$18.2

St. Johns Red Storm position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.78
Potential profit: $61.78
User PnL: -$17.92

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$20

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-4.5)

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $53.19
User PnL: -$25

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.49
Potential profit: $52.49
User PnL: -$9.97

Nebraska Cornhuskers position

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.09
Potential profit: $31.09
User PnL: -$16.79

Michigan State Spartans position

Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$7.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend?

Ends Oct 24, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.27

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup?

Ends Dec 18, 2022

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $106.56

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.33

Yes position

Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022?

Ends Oct 13, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.44

No position

Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.97

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Democrat position

Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.7

No position

Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.03

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.32

Yes position

Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.93

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.33

Yes position

Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022?

Ends Oct 13, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.86

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

Democrat position

Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.96

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.9

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will Spirit win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.88

No position

Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.37

No position

Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.28

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically?

Ends May 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Yes 15.9% 114.56 shares
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 9.1% 200.15 shares
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 28.5% 33.7 shares
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 17.3% 31.04 shares
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 27.3% 70.99 shares
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

Yes 64.7% 42.37 shares
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 27.2% 57.54 shares
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

Yes 60% 37.74 shares
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 12.3% 203.25 shares
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)

Argentina 47% 53.19 shares
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 13% 115.56 shares
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 1.9% 112.63 shares