No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$83
Polymarket Trader
decemberego
0xae1f941a0b08ab6af1f26a45ab8315985eed86c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $3.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$291.3
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $806.99
- Potential profit
- $806.99
- User PnL
- -$89.25
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $10.37
- Potential payout
- $797.79
- Potential profit
- $787.42
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$44.14
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $17.99
- Potential payout
- $719.6
- Potential profit
- $701.61
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.1%
- Current value
- $252.35
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $447.65
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- -$230.65
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.44
- Potential profit
- $689.44
- User PnL
- -$179.25
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $688
- Potential profit
- $688
- User PnL
- -$316.1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $663.4
- Potential profit
- $663.07
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.56
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $159.19
- Potential payout
- $649.74
- Potential profit
- $490.55
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$155.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $513
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $87
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.97
- Potential profit
- $499.97
- User PnL
- -$17.5
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $399
- Potential payout
- $477.85
- Potential profit
- $78.85
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $117.07
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.37
- Potential profit
- $421.37
- User PnL
- -$58.99
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $108
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $192
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will 70-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.54
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.87
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.99
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.53
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.73
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.57
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.6
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $123.47
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.31
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.33
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.11
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.71
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.86
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.8
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.8
No position
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- $67.58
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 149.74 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 80% 312.5 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 72% 300 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 26% 689.44 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 31% 600 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 2% 154.15 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 85% 154.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 75% 81.7 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 75% 400 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 69% 700 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 5% 535.34 shares
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes 81% 42.95 shares