Polymarket Trader

0xAe204179CA38aF5104e9D8b2AEeA41A97cC6F1cF-1770415034207

0xae204179ca38af5104e9d8b2aeea41a97cc6f1cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.04
Realized PnL: $757.3
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $394.92
Potential profit: $394.92
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $52.66
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $53.72
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $97.97
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.09
Potential profit: $103.09
User PnL: -$10

No position

James Comey arrested by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.48
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.59
Potential profit: $13.59
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.31

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.44

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.45

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.36

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.42

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.13

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.61

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.11

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.84

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.86

Yes position

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.36

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.96

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.94

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$7.52

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 394.92 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 51.54 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Yes 47% 106.38 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 62.5 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 41.67 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 51.55 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Yes 41% 94.33 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Yes 53% 94.34 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 29.7% 98.68 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 50.7% 98.69 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 2.7% 86.2 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares