Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$223.33
Polymarket Trader
Wrajitoru
0xae286bac2b584ba92a580a2e84f1f7d8e7c70285
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $341.04
- Realized PnL
- -$543.89
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $994.5
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $28.13
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $596.88
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$71.88
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $31.45
- Potential payout
- $300.96
- Potential profit
- $269.51
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.17
- Potential profit
- $205.17
- User PnL
- -$32.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $149
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $120.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $99.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $36.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $299.56
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $67.55
No position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.63
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.51K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 79% 150 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 16.1% 300.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 0.1% 1,689.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?Down 53.7% 235 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes 98.7% 89.02 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes 90% 26.67 shares
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes 15.5% 645.48 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes 15% 307.85 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes 15.7% 205.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 1,666.66 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 16% 625 shares