Yes position
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $599.98
- Potential profit
- $574.78
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $20.4
Polymarket Trader
CraicAddict
0xae299cbae1204822f8b5e41c1b522fbe878e1c87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.39
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.01
- Potential profit
- $210.01
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $56
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $28.19
- Potential payout
- $28.58
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.05
No position
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.42
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.79
No position
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.45
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.37
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.85
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.92
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.22
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Hornets
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.7
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.52
No position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Suns position
Suns vs. Knicks
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.9% 346.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 70% 28.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 141.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 43% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 105.26 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 6.7% 500 shares
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 0.5% 84.16 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 70% 500 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 56% 33.47 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 43% 200 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 42% 144.7 shares