Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Lacertko
0xae34aaabb7f7dbbc16e19881b2b2565fc931f8bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.33
- Realized PnL
- $116.92
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $34.99
- Potential payout
- $127.25
- Potential profit
- $92.26
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $14.33
- Potential payout
- $69.08
- Potential profit
- $54.75
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.22
- Potential profit
- $45.22
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.15
- Potential profit
- $39.15
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.97
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.16
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $19.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?No 75.2% 45.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?Yes 48% 83.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?Yes 25.5% 39.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?No 19.2% 30.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?Yes 29% 68.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?Yes 12.3% 81.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?No 66% 30.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?Yes 10.5% 95.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?No 86.6% 23.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?Yes 3% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?Yes 6.1% 164.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?Yes 20% 100 shares