Polymarket Trader

rosemaryli8662

0xae427dd1356ab0933a7e91f87e506041f9f53c72

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $311.96
Realized PnL: $171.36
Win rate: 43.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $49.16
Potential payout: $574.98
Potential profit: $525.82
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$15.58

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.3%
Current value: $201.36
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $198.64
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: -$8.14

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.64
Potential profit: $289.64
User PnL: -$31.1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.65
Potential profit: $249.65
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$48.5

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7.3

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.9
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$17.9

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$76.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.09
Potential profit: $100.09
User PnL: -$11.96

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $50.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$84

No position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.51
Potential profit: $87.51
User PnL: -$15.31

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.68
Potential profit: $83.68
User PnL: -$15.46

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.69
Potential profit: $81.69
User PnL: -$11.39

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$7.13

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.07
Potential profit: $68.07
User PnL: -$12.67

Yes position

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $67.58
Potential profit: $64.74
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.31

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.89

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.36

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.9

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.35

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$27.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 9% 75 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Yes 23% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 60 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Yes 14% 45 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Yes 13% 5.09 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Yes 28% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Yes 31% 50 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

No 16% 25.35 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 100 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?

No 12% 24.91 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Yes 3% 31 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 75% 20.72 shares