0xAe46B282bd565Fe3f23FCEbaad58D24CBf347889-1772640477502

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.58K
Potential payout: $44.94K
Potential profit: $42.36K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $872.45

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $668.75
Potential payout: $31.25K
Potential profit: $30.58K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $168.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.09K
Potential profit: $28.09K
User PnL: -$609.81

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.44K
Potential profit: $23.44K
User PnL: -$2.23K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $18.84K
Potential profit: $17.51K
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$353.78

Yes position

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.21K
Potential profit: $17.21K
User PnL: -$219.96

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.95K
Potential profit: $15.95K
User PnL: -$1.38K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $10.91K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $10.19K
Potential profit: $8.18K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $642.44

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $235.58
Potential payout: $9.62K
Potential profit: $9.38K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$14.41

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $8.17K
Potential profit: $8.16K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.91

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $36.11
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.52K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$13.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $5.27K
User PnL: -$588.04

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.5

Alexander Zverev position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $4.85K
User PnL: -$4.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $4.58K
User PnL: -$1.48K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.54K
Potential profit: $4.54K
User PnL: -$707.27

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $4.36K
User PnL: -$2.46K

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $3.93K
User PnL: -$55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.91K
User PnL: -$458.59

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $226.56
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.58K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$98.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$181.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $962.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $949.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $887.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $781.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET