Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.79K
- Potential profit
- $4.79K
- User PnL
- -$16.39
Polymarket Trader
Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C5
0xae5839b89d47738616264276ac1f0d77f936e5c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167.38
- Realized PnL
- $7.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- User PnL
- -$36
No position
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $29.05
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$92.04
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $431.17
- Potential profit
- $428.37
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $298.84
- Potential profit
- $295.25
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $147.22
- Potential profit
- $142.88
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $34.87
- Potential profit
- $29.48
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $23.38
- Potential profit
- $21.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $20.12
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $12.3
- Potential payout
- $21.77
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 16, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $11.07
- Potential payout
- $17.71
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.39
- Potential payout
- $17.6
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $8.81
- Potential payout
- $9.46
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $6.2
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $6.19
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $4.15
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $4.14
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.28x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?No 0.1% 5 shares
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes 80.6% 4.99 shares
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?No 0.2% 5 shares
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes 99.9% 4.99 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No 94% 5 shares
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?No 9.2% 1,330.32 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 4.99 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 4.99 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 4.99 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 4.99 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 4.99 shares