Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $7.37
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Polymarket Trader
FnarckPalloin
@Abattais_fnarck
0xae5b6ac72d429e5df44fd68f946a52140b88ab1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.76K
- Realized PnL
- $809.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $6.26
- Potential payout
- $463.63
- Potential profit
- $457.37
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $309.15
- Potential profit
- $306.52
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $309.13
- Potential profit
- $300.94
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $299.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $299.4
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $188.06
- Potential payout
- $189.01
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $10.12
- Potential payout
- $164.63
- Potential profit
- $154.51
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $162.39
- Potential payout
- $163.21
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $113.47
- Potential payout
- $113.53
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $106.89
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $102.79
- Potential profit
- $96.47
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $102.76
- Potential profit
- $95.21
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $12.07
- Potential payout
- $102.71
- Potential profit
- $90.64
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $18.92
- Potential payout
- $102.56
- Potential profit
- $83.64
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $102.55
- Potential profit
- $88.55
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $97.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.39
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.99
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.51
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.49
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
Ends Feb 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.31
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.07
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 1–7?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.37
Yes position
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?Yes 99% 55.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?No 98.5% 20.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?No 99% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 19?No 99.7% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 19?No 99.8% 145.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?No 99.8% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 19?Yes 99.6% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 19?Yes 99% 99.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 19?No 99.8% 35.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 19?No 99% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 19?No 99.8% 51.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 19?Yes 99.8% 50.08 shares