Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $47.64
- Potential profit
- $47.57
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Polymarket Trader
0xae5f...bc30
0xae5fe44bb9902064bf686a4db808608f66c0bc30
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $45.84
- Realized PnL
- $1.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $31.63
- Potential payout
- $45.84
- Potential profit
- $14.22
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $22.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $42.12
- Potential profit
- $42.06
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $41.66
- Potential profit
- $31.04
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $40.44
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $37.17
- Potential profit
- $37.13
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $30.62
- Potential profit
- $28.8
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $26.38
- Potential profit
- $26.29
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $17.18
- Potential profit
- $17.16
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $13.34
- Potential profit
- $11.97
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $10.9
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.54
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.21
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.88
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.96
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.71
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.24
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.79
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.73
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?Yes 10.3% 13.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?Yes 19% 45.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?Yes 2.4% 37.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?Yes 17% 23.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 19?Yes 7% 21.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?Yes 5.1% 23.31 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?No 6% 21.42 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?No 5% 29.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?Yes 9% 13.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?Yes 7% 17.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?Yes 13% 9.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?Yes 12% 11.53 shares