Polymarket Trader

surfa

@surferpredicts

0xae671ffd7421c2fc2b4ad6eb21dedfec3ad57cc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.84K
Realized PnL: $902.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $660
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.34K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$220

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $700
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $129

No position

Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $484
User PnL: -$300.08

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$151.5

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $17.4

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$81

Yes position

Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $80.99
Potential payout: $98.17
Potential profit: $17.18
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$20.02

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Los Angeles Thieves position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $9.49
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.42

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.2

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.25

Yes position

James Comey arrested by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.76

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.85

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Evil Geniuses Academy position

Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.76

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.83

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.63

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.49

No position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.9

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Yes position

MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.37

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 1 Winner

Los Angeles Thieves 99% 9.49 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

No 5.2% 1,271.77 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67% 1,819.66 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

No 63.2% 1,271.77 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 36.9% 0.09 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 37.6% 2,207.5 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 80.9% 1,200 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 88% 1,000 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Yes 95% 50 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 81.5% 855.78 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 99.9% 100 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Yes 91% 750 shares