Klrf

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $74.34
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $9.34

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $795.18
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $332.73
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $775.18

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $43.92
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $199.73
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $882.83
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $15.82

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $64.73
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $987.79
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$28.27

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $139.46
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $882.19
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$23.2

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $984.5
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $985.5
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 26.2%
Current value: $195.52
Potential payout: $747.68
Potential profit: $552.16
Multiplier: 3.82x
User PnL: $165.53

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580.72
Potential profit: $580.72
User PnL: -$9.29

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.83
Potential profit: $483.83
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $481.16
Potential profit: $481.16
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.19
Potential profit: $352.19
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $20.75
Potential payout: $282.27
Potential profit: $261.52
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $34.52
Potential payout: $275.05
Potential profit: $240.53
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $165.25
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $1.42
User PnL: $145.25

Yes position

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $155
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Friendship" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.56
Potential profit: $120.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $114.53
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $105.63
Potential profit: $93.22
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $3.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.53

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.61

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.15

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

No position

James Comey arrested by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

No position

Will Trump say "Egghead" in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will King Charles say "Ukraine" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will King Charles say "Parliament" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will King Charles say "Anniversary" during the joint meeting of Congress?