Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $10.02K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$701.19
Polymarket Trader
HopeDisLasts
0xae7072317fa5fb63141dc2aec2f78a8b25bdabfb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.18K
- Realized PnL
- $12.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- User PnL
- -$58.69
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$514.73
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $110.96
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$110.45
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$235.97
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $558.38
- Potential profit
- $553.35
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$69.21
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.99
- Potential profit
- $409.99
- User PnL
- -$96.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.85
- Potential profit
- $263.85
- User PnL
- -$188.09
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $248.94
- Potential profit
- $247.2
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$48.15
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.7%
- Current value
- $48.61
- Potential payout
- $111.23
- Potential profit
- $62.62
- Multiplier
- 2.29x
- User PnL
- $23.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.63
- Potential profit
- $75.63
- User PnL
- -$22.21
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $8.49
- Potential payout
- $73.83
- Potential profit
- $65.34
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $61.54
- Potential profit
- $60.46
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.82
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$32.82
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $59.2
- Potential profit
- $58.79
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $51.01
- Potential profit
- $50.93
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$10.92
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $40.85
- Potential profit
- $21.86
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $32.5
- Potential profit
- $30.06
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.5
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $750
No position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.64
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.25
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.47
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.13
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.99
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.18
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.63
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.25
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.47
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $166.16
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.13
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $144.68
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.25
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.07
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 47% 40.85 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 4.5% 111.4 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 26.2% 106.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 32.5 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?No 46.4% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 73.9% 15.82 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Yes 8% 116.07 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.9% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 52.63 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 125 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 19% 51.92 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 63.2% 15.82 shares