Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $62.4
- Potential profit
- $42.43
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $9.97
Polymarket Trader
0xae71...4763
0xae711ac445257b908fbde4e769a918da23a24763
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $20.24
- Realized PnL
- $7.93
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.73
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.52
- Potential profit
- $7.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55
Kings position
Kings vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 12.5% 8 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 16.1% 31.15 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Kings vs. Blue JacketsKings 99.9% 10.41 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?Yes 82% 3.66 shares
- Kings vs. Blue JacketsKings 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown 29% 4.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown 21.9% 4.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 39.9% 9.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp 23.9% 12.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown 47.9% 8.09 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?Yes 11% 9.09 shares