Polymarket Trader

Grumpy-Wario

0xae713caa3dfd26c29dad3ec1870f8723fd088488

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.5K
Realized PnL: $3.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $234.44K
Potential profit: $232.45K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $46K
User PnL: -$552

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $587.45
Potential payout: $37.9K
Potential profit: $37.31K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$18.36K

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $37.31K
Potential payout: $37.9K
Potential profit: $587.45
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.36K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $610.9
Potential payout: $29.8K
Potential profit: $29.19K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$113.3

Paolini position

Set Handicap: Paolini (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Tomas Machac position

Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.72K

Aurora Young Blood position

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $416.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.28

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $158.27

Acend position

Counter-Strike: Acend vs CarritoSpain (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.07

Hassan position

Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Benjamin Hassan

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $108.5

Over position

Tjen vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $96.6

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.49

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.2

Alliance position

Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $53.48

Leo Team position

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.4

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.96

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.48

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.88

Jelena Ostapenko position

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.12

DashSkins position

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs DashSkins (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffs

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Atalanta win the Serie A?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Alexander Blockx position

Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

No position

Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.58

Birrell position

Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $17.68

Steelers position

Steelers vs. Patriots

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Yes position

Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 44,444.44 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 9,000 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 7,066.36 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova

Karolina Muchova 14.3% 15 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra

Solana Sierra 87% 318.17 shares
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Jakub Mensik 35% 68.64 shares
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmic

Ben Shelton 67% 147.78 shares
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti 62% 31.89 shares
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant

Tyra Caterina Grant 26% 737.26 shares
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 2 Winner

Leo Team 51.1% 1,990.51 shares
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 2 Winner

Leo Team 52% 197.12 shares
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 2 Winner

Leo Team 58% 35.27 shares