Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $287.56
- Potential profit
- $279.51
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Polymarket Trader
marketgravity
0xae73605e292f7a6efc60006de5d94d2f7d6d09fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.4
- Realized PnL
- $0.35
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $247.88
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $245.88
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $240.7
- Potential profit
- $235.65
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $59.09
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $28.41
- Potential profit
- $19.03
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $20.38
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $14.7
- Potential profit
- $9.7
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $9.31
- Potential payout
- $10.7
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $8.58
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $8.43
- Potential profit
- $4.34
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 1.6% 240.7 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 3.5% 113 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 2.1% 162.56 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 6.9% 62.5 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 1.1% 250 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 1.7% 250 shares
- Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Yes 89% 5.55 shares
- Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes 43% 11.36 shares
- Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes 44% 5.15 shares
- Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Yes 90% 5.15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 5 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 20% 5 shares