No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.1
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- User PnL
- -$11.64
Polymarket Trader
Aethelwyrdd
0xae75cedda767cc1d119e5e5af317bc9d618ad855
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.29
- Realized PnL
- $0.42
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $21.29
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 23.53 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 90% 23.33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 22.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 22.48 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 96.2% 20.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 98.9% 20.22 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 94.8% 21.76 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 96.5% 21.76 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.9% 22.75 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.7% 22.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No 40% 28.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 78% 5.13 shares