Polymarket Trader

dreamtumulus

0xae760b3c0215c56673581dd7bcc46473a4c52763

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $775.67
Realized PnL: $2.73K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $307.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $7.5

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-5.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $78.75
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $971.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.25

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $362.8
Potential payout: $853.66
Potential profit: $490.85
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $12.81

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-3.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $17.7
Potential payout: $208.24
Potential profit: $190.54
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $1.04

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-4.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $14.46
Potential profit: $13.94
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $504.54

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-5.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.68

Haiti position

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.26

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.36

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.48

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.1

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.2

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.14

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.8

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.44

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.4

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

Japan 20% 1,500 shares
Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Japan 41% 853.66 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 48% 1,250 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 4% 1,364.02 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 5% 1,055.32 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 20% 210 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 37% 270.27 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 1,050 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 32% 1,093.75 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 43% 455.81 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 9% 1,511.11 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 35% 1,000 shares