Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $400K
- User PnL
- -$30.48K
Polymarket Trader
ProfitMuhammedPBUH
0xae7c98235d5dc797edfa3d3af2e0334238a4487e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.55K
- Realized PnL
- $138.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $336.9K
- Potential profit
- $334.71K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$21.89K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $13.12K
- Potential payout
- $105K
- Potential profit
- $91.87K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.77K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91K
- Potential profit
- $91K
- User PnL
- -$4.17K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.99K
- Potential profit
- $88.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.7K
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61K
- Potential profit
- $61K
- User PnL
- -$885.96
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $199.75
- Potential payout
- $57.07K
- Potential profit
- $56.87K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.91K
- Potential profit
- $49.91K
- User PnL
- -$15.22K
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $431.22
- Potential payout
- $41.07K
- Potential profit
- $40.64K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.18K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$354
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $34.17K
- Potential profit
- $32.36K
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.65K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $25.35K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$11.13K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.9K
- Potential profit
- $26.9K
- User PnL
- -$4.23K
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.07K
- Potential profit
- $25.07K
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.93K
- Potential profit
- $21.93K
- User PnL
- -$806.99
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $269.11
- Potential payout
- $21.53K
- Potential profit
- $21.26K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.42K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $19.71K
- Potential profit
- $17.83K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $18K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.99K
- Potential profit
- $16.99K
- User PnL
- -$585.96
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.98K
- Potential profit
- $14.98K
- User PnL
- -$3.64K
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.22K
- Potential profit
- $14.22K
- User PnL
- -$127.94
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.22K
- Potential profit
- $13.22K
- User PnL
- -$353.16
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.89K
- Potential profit
- $12.89K
- User PnL
- -$335.08
Yes position
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.69K
- Potential profit
- $12.69K
- User PnL
- -$600.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.86K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.4K
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46K
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?Yes 99.3% 2,508.64 shares
- Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?Yes 7.9% 73.57 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 1.2% 1,341 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 56% 892.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 2,211.54 shares
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 2.1% 36.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.4% 55,775.34 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.5% 94,224.66 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 1.9% 12,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 98.6% 3,625.4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 82% 91.46 shares
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.6% 2,499.13 shares