Yes position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $120 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $65.3
- Potential profit
- $63.01
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Polymarket Trader
Famfritz
0xae7d014f94535f8ac0e954b56a1897843000058f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $252.61
- Realized PnL
- $33.69
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.48
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.5
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $46.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.95
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.2
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.2
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.48
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Y
Yes position
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.78
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.48
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $40.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.33
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Y
Yes position
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $19.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.75
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$19.75
Yes position
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.25
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Y
Yes position
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.2
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $41.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.98
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Over position
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Under position
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Over position
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.54
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Under position
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.5
N
No position
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Under position
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
N
No position
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Under position
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Under position
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 Corners
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?No 89% 30 shares
- Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes 22% 49.99 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Yes 17% 10.09 shares
- Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Yes 6% 49.99 shares
- Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes 17.7% 6.6 shares
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes 14.2% 49.99 shares
- Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes 5% 35 shares
- Will Athletics win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 1% 35.78 shares
- Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 12% 5.72 shares
- Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 3.1% 50 shares
- Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 4.5% 49.99 shares
- Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?No 79% 5.89 shares