No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $11.75K
- Potential payout
- $15.77K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$475.13
Polymarket Trader
0xAE7FcEb5828Ad56356283188B505939D057F31c9-1768585935728
0xae7fceb5828ad56356283188b505939d057f31c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.96K
- Realized PnL
- $7.54K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.22K
- Potential payout
- $11.04K
- Potential profit
- $828.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $444.55
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900.42
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $847.96
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.22
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.74
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.06
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.47
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.88
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.89
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $126.42
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.07
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $48.73
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.66
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74.8% 1,448.23 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 90.2% 1,200 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 76.7% 3,522.44 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 90% 3,000 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 75% 2,576.9 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 79.7% 1,000 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No 90% 505.31 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.5% 815.28 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 91% 21 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.5% 20 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 86.9% 1,098.39 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.5% 278.75 shares