Polymarket Trader

choosewin

0xae8696ebd370e1b20e5a7a64fc6e4e5530d86e6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.72K
Realized PnL: $213.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $4.95K
User PnL: -$9.91

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $980.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $70.5

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $337.51
Potential payout: $900.02
Potential profit: $562.51
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $163.4
Potential payout: $573.53
Potential profit: $410.13
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $8.02

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $126
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $174
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $200.02
Potential profit: $147.01
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $38.76
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $63.24
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $22.7
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.9

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.18

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.84

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

Yes position

Solana ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.03

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Multiplier: 5.46x
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Ripple ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.1%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 37% 300 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Yes 15% 299.99 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 26% 152.6 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 24% 15 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Yes 12.9% 200 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 24% 194.11 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 24% 299.99 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 37% 250.48 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 38% 0.61 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 37% 10 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 27% 300 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 27% 1,200 shares