No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-1776456987493
0xae8739813b024631b3769e8788464795ee70d629
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $298.82
- Realized PnL
- $681.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $42.37
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$21.03
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $987.67
- Potential profit
- $977.79
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $969.32
- Potential profit
- $969.32
- User PnL
- -$15.7
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.34
- Potential profit
- $716.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $86.61
- Potential payout
- $641.59
- Potential profit
- $554.98
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$97.3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $105.78
- Potential payout
- $371.29
- Potential profit
- $265.51
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.5
- Potential profit
- $226.5
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.18
- Potential profit
- $218.18
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.51
- Potential profit
- $202.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $163.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $51.9
- Potential payout
- $148.29
- Potential profit
- $96.39
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$8.91
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $108.83
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.65
- Potential profit
- $106.65
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.21
- Potential profit
- $104.21
- User PnL
- -$11.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $397.06
No position
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.98
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.63
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.24
Yes position
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.11
No position
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.8
Yes position
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.38
No position
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.42
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 82% 30 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 73% 12.34 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 94% 10.51 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?Yes 69% 14.49 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?No 69% 14.49 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 95.1% 10.52 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 83% 12.05 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 2.9% 100 shares