Polymarket Trader

arrizabalahahaha

0xaea0792d018dbc15619bf8234bf20ac34276875a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $252.47
Realized PnL: $549.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 25.7%
Current value: $65.17
Potential payout: $253.58
Potential profit: $188.41
Multiplier: 3.89x
User PnL: $26.02

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $12.49
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $197.51
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $137.3
Potential payout: $146.85
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 0 Colombia?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Haissem Hassan score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.2

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.13
Potential profit: $63.13
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $44.62
Potential profit: $42.1
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.98
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.3

Over position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$16

Over position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.6

Over position

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.6

Over position

United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.72
Potential profit: $19.72
User PnL: -$12.21

Yes position

Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Over position

Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.04

Over position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.45
Potential profit: $10.45
User PnL: -$4.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wolves Esports position

Rainbow Six Siege: Wolves Esports vs One Coin (BO3) - CN League Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.6

Yes position

Will Praggnanandhaa R vs. Yi Wei end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.48

No position

Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-12 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.54

Yes position

Will South Korea be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.13

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

No position

Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.75

Ronaldo position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

No position

Nico Williams: 1+ shots

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.3

No position

World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.62

Yes position

Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.4

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

No position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

Torino FC position

Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Ollie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?

No 93% 146.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 8?

Yes 4.1% 44.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 14.5% 37.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 15.9% 19.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 18.1% 36.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 18.2% 25.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 8?

Yes 5.1% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?

No 92% 35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 9.7% 33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 9.6% 117.76 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 37% 10 shares
Will Haissem Hassan score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 100 shares