No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $10.91
- Potential payout
- $37.61
- Potential profit
- $26.7
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Polymarket Trader
hn4bnjzt04ux
0xaeadacf9d662310a427262d0d22490179c4012e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.29
- Realized PnL
- $858.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $10.34
- Potential payout
- $29.97
- Potential profit
- $19.63
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $13.85
- Potential profit
- $10.25
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $11.35
- Potential profit
- $8.45
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $7.78
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $6.26
- Potential payout
- $7.73
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $6.43
- Potential payout
- $6.8
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $5.73
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.12
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $4.87
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $4.81
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $4.51
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.11
N
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $3.06
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $2.72
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.33
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.58
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $2.41
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Matteo Berrettini position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.84
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.45
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.54
Magic position
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
Oh My God position
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.59
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.24
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.88
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
Under position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.83
ThunderTalk Gaming position
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
Dplus KIA position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
Natus Vincere position
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.43
Nongshim Red Force position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
GenOne position
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.72
Yes position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52
KT Rolster position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.14
Team Envy position
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.53
Yes position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
Ninjas in Pyjamas position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?No 85% 7.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 51% 5.7 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 31% 29.97 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 45% 2.33 shares
- Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 99% 0.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 41% 5.71 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 69% 4.65 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 95% 7.3 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No 82% 0.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 54% 3.13 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 65% 0.25 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 65% 0.75 shares