Yes position
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$785
Polymarket Trader
Asihiko
0xaebd870371f88133e7a2674f22b062f2302fa26f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $330
- Realized PnL
- -$220.02
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will North Carolina be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $877.17
- Potential profit
- $877.17
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $645.68
- Potential profit
- $645.68
- User PnL
- -$523
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $38.64
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $415.91
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$11.36
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $412.24
- Potential profit
- $412.24
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $148.53
- Potential payout
- $172.71
- Potential profit
- $24.18
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $100.53
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.98
- Potential profit
- $45.98
- User PnL
- -$40
N
No position
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $42.3
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.19
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.07
No position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes 86% 172.71 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 11% 454.55 shares
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 94% 106.38 shares
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No 76% 45 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 50% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 4% 2,000 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 5% 2,000 shares
- Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo 62% 1 shares
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo 62% 159.68 shares
- Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?No 80.5% 103.09 shares
- Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes 40% 925 shares